YieldCast®

YieldCast is a series of statistical models that incorporate crop, weather, and yields to objectively forecast the U.S. corn and soybean yield, and results over the last 10 years have been truly remarkable.

Over the last 10 years, YieldCast corn forecasts in early August averaged #1 closest to the final yield of approximately 35 market analysts (measured before the release of the initial USDA Crop Production forecast), including:

#1 most accurate of 32 forecasts in 2010
#2 most accurate of 31 forecasts in 2011
#1 most accurate of 40 forecasts in 2015
#3 most accurate of 34 forecasts in 2016
#1 most accurate of 29 forecasts in 2017
#4 most accurate of 29 forecasts in 2019

More so, in an unmatched feat, the YieldCast August corn forecast averaged closer to the final yield than the one provided by the USDA in its August Crop Production report (measured before the USDA release).

 

2019_corn_mape_aug1

 

YieldCast soybean forecasts were also very good, but not outstanding as in corn, averaging slightly closer to the final yield than the market and USDA forecasts in both August and September over the last 10 years, but not October.

2019_soy_mape_aug1

Each weekly corn yield forecast since 2010 is here, and an analysis of YieldCast forecasts compared to the market prior to the August, September, and October Crop Production reports is here.

Each weekly soybean forecast since 2010 is here, and an analysis of forecast results is here.

A detailed analysis of our corn forecasts over 2010-19 is available here: YieldCast: Best Track Record In the Corn Industry Last 10 Years.

 

An Excel file with the corn and soybean forecast data over 2010-18 is available here.

Subscription Information
In 2020, YieldCast® forecasts are provided each Wednesday at 12 PM Central Time (1700 UTC) from April 15 through October 7. Pricing for one year of service  is as follows:

$3,250 for 1 license (person), or
$5,300 for 2 – 5 licenses, and
$1,000 for each additional license beyond 5

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